Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026?
IAOne-OffTecnologia4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto29 mar 26, 14:55 UTC15 gen 27, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria (strict):
- Resolves YES if OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta publicly releases a model documented with context window >= 5,000,000 tokens by 2026-12-31.
- Must be an official release with public documentation or official product/API announcement.
- Rumors, leaks, unofficial benchmarks, or third-party claims do NOT count.
- If no qualifying official release appears by deadline, resolves NO.
- Primary sources:
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026??
- Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta release a model with context window >= 5M tokens before Dec 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria (strict):