Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 98.3%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto16 ott 23, 03:18 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In what year will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch?
Manifold MarketsWill the Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope be renamed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegole
The Roman Space Telescope is NASA's next flagship telescope, following JWST and Hubble before it.
- The current launch date is May 2027.
- Resolves YES if the Telescope is successfully launched before December 31, 2027.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 98% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027??
- Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will NASA's Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope launch in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Roman Space Telescope is NASA's next flagship telescope, following JWST and Hubble before it.