Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
2.5 pt (24h)TecnologiaOne-OffSpace22g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Anthropic 84.4%In testa tra 21 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
3,4K €
Liquidità
44,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.3 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
+2.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
21 lug 26, 00:34 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiWhich AI company will release the most impactful new model before September 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSeptember 2026 AI model releases
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
- This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.