PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
2027 16%-0.5pt
Qualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
120,3 €
Liquidità
27,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
3
Variazione 7g
-2.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
14 mag 26, 17:47 UTC1 gen 28, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will data center technicians still be necessary in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiWill there be a functional ≥100MW data center in space before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the AI Data Center Moratorium Act (S.4214) pass Congress by end of the 119th Congress?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- “Orbital data center” refers to any spacecraft, satellite, or equivalent technology carrying computing infrastructure that is launched into Earth’s orbit for the purpose of providing data-center, cloud-computing, or artificial intelligence computing services and which includes at least 100 data-center-grade AI accelerators, GPUs, TPUs, or substantially equivalent compute processors, (e.g. NVIDIA H100 GPUs, Google TPUs, or equivalent or successor chips).
- “Successfully launched” refers to any launch which successfully places a qualifying orbital data center into Earth’s orbit.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume totale
- 241,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 128K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 349,4K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AI data center in space by which date??
- Polymarket quota 2027 al 16% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve AI data center in space by which date??
- AI data center in space by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.
- Come viene liquidato AI data center in space by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any orbital data center is successfully launched by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato AI data center in space by which date??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Manifold Markets, Futuur.