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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Tecnologia
  3. By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?
Manifold Markets

By which Flight of Starship will it reach orbit?

TecnologiaYearlySpace6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before) 0%
In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori

65

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

22 mar 24, 17:571 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
Manifold Markets
4 (all flight #s are on or before)
0%
Manifold Markets
5
0%

Esito scelto

121%

Regole

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

An orbit around earth is defined as having a perigee above 100 km.

Manifold Markets
  • All past flights have targeted perigees with negative values (inside the surface of the earth).
  • So when do you think Starship will have a perigee above 100km?
  • This obviously assumes Starship is in one piece and flying nominally when it reaches this orbit.
  • If a piece of debris once belonging to Starship happens to reach orbit it will not count (resolve NO).
  • Starship must actually fly to orbit if it is targeted so if orbit is not reached in flight this market resolves NO.