Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
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95
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 45 minuti fa
In ritardo12 lug 23, 17:10 UTC31 dic 30, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
@Mira is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?
- The market will resolve as YES if:
- @Mira 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
- The market will resolve as NO if any of:
- Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.