Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?
IAOne-OffTecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63.9%
Previsori
54
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 24, 17:03 UTC1 gen 31, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA build an operational nuclear power plant on the moon by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada build a new nuclear power plant before January 1st 2060?
Manifold MarketsWhich year will the first nuclear power plant in Poland start producing power?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion Energy have a power plant in operation by the end of 2028?
ForecastExWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves to YES if Microsoft successfully builds and puts into operation a nuclear power plant built for the purpose of powering one of its data centers, or someone else builds and puts into operation such a nuclear power plant for such a purpose.
- Resolves to NO if OpenAI announces it is withholding one or more products from Microsoft's deal due to the AGI exception clause in their contract, or otherwise announces that they have achieved AGI.
- Resolves N/A if neither occurs by the deadline, or it is clear neither will occur by then, as an escape valve.
