Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63.1%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto19 feb 26, 22:47 UTC31 mar 30, 04:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2026 production (100% basis) exceed 16.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2030 production (100% basis) exceed 24.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market estimates McArthur River's 2029 production (100% basis).
- The market settles on March 31, 2030 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate McArthur River's production (100% basis) for 2029 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2029 through December 31, 2029
- YES if: 2029 production (100% basis) ≥22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
- NO if: 2029 production (100% basis) <22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market estimates McArthur River's 2029 production (100% basis).