Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 59%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto19 feb 26, 22:45 UTC31 mar 28, 04:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will McArthur River 2030 production (100% basis) exceed 24.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2029 production (100% basis) exceed 22.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill McArthur River 2028 production (100% basis) exceed 20.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market estimates McArthur River's 2027 production (100% basis).
- The market settles on March 31, 2028 (3 months after year-end to allow for quarterly reporting).
- At settlement, an LLM will be asked to estimate McArthur River's production (100% basis) for 2027 using the trailing 15-month window excluding the last 3 months.
- Measurement window: January 1, 2027 through December 31, 2027
- YES if: 2027 production (100% basis) ≥18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
- NO if: 2027 production (100% basis) <18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 59% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 marzo 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will McArthur River 2027 production (100% basis) exceed 18.0M lbs U3O8 (100% basis)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market estimates McArthur River's 2027 production (100% basis).