Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028?
IAOne-OffTecnologia2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.6%
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto18 giu 26, 15:10 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, as of December 31, 2028, at least half of the top 15 of all evaluated individuals by average Elo rating across the language models tracked on the Center for AI Safety (CAIS) AI Values Dashboard (https://values.safe.ai/) or the best replication of it are pro AI safety.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Current top rated AI safety people include:
- Yoshua Bengio
- Stuart Russell
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 56% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028??
- Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria