Quali sono le probabilità attuali per will people still mostly use AI through a textbox on a website/app in August 2027??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 70.4% al 26 ottobre 2026.

will people still mostly use AI through a textbox on a website/app in August 2027?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 70.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 20 ore fa

Obsoleto

18 ago 25, 16:35 UTC31 ago 27, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

if it seems at all plausibly true that people do still mostly use AI through textboxes on websites, this will resolve YES

Update 2025-08-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Apps count as “websites” for this market.
Using AI via a textbox within an app (e.g., Meta apps, ChatGPT mobile app) qualifies toward a YES.
Update 2025-08-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Realtime spoken dialogue with an AI (voice back-and-forth) counts as NO.
Dictating into a textbox, pressing send, and reading a written response counts as YES (slightly edgy).
Back-and-forth using speech-to-text input and text-to-speech output counts as NO.