Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
2080 98.9%In testa tra 17 esiti
2080 98.9%Previsori
77
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto29 lug 24, 21:16 UTC1 gen 01, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major US city before 2030?
Manifold MarketsOnce level 5 self-driving cars are available to the public, will any pre-2024 Tesla model be capable of it?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the first to ban human driven cars in favor of AI self driving cars in their capital city?
Manifold MarketsWill level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
At the beginning of each year level 5 self driving is not available the previous year will resolve to NO.
- If level 5 self driving is available year 2028.
- Year 2028 and all years after will resolve to YES.
- Level 5 self driving.
- Needs to be available in US and Europe for normal consumers.
- Should not cost much more than a normal expensive car.