Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 70.6%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto19 giu 25, 01:34 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsE. Jean Carroll federally charged by which date?
PolymarketWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Luigi Mangione plead extreme emotional disturbance or not guilty by reason of mental illness?
Manifold MarketsWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiHasan Piker arrested in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois_Gari%C3%A9py
- Gariépy's partner Élora Patoine (also known as "Mama JF") disappeared in June 2023, having last been seen in Moncton on June 19, two days after being left at a gas station.
- He subsequently announced a deep cleaning of his house.
- He believed that she left voluntarily (as an act of off-the-grid living) in explaining why he never reported her absence to police, but in September/October 2023, she was reported missing.[25][26][27] As of October 2024, the Royal Canadian Mounted Police was still seeking tips from the public to help find Patoine.[28]
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8,6K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-5.5pt16%
- 2026+0.2pt5%
- Volume totale
- 503,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+5.5pt70.3%
- Yes-5.5pt29.7%
- Volume totale
- 353,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 6K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 3128%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+0.5pt42.2%
- 60++2.5pt39.2%
- 20–40+2.8pt10.8%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIWho will be arrested in 2026?
- John Brennan-2.0pt22%
- Mahmoud Khalil17%
- José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero+2.0pt15%
+21 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Who will be arrested before 2027?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by which date?
- Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026??
- Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Jean-François Gariépy be arrested for any reason by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jean-Fran%C3%A7ois_Gari%C3%A9py