Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ago 23, 12:47 UTC2 ago 28, 06:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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For every quarter, the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS) publishes very detailed statistics on the cost of flights between a wide variety of US cities.
- They even inflation adjust historical prices to the current quarter!
- At the very bottom of their table, they have a row "National Average".
- Once the 2028 Q1 statistics are released, I will calculate the percentage increase in fare prices (((2023Q1AverageFare-2028Q1AverageFare)/2023Q1AverageFare)*100).
- This market will resolve YES if the inflation adjusted national average fare in 2028Q1 (2023Q1AverageFare) is more than 33 percent higher than the inflation adjusted national average fare in 2023Q1 (2023Q1AverageFare) (e.g. if the result of the above calculation is 33 or higher).
- Else, it will resolve no.