Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 87.9%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto17 nov 24, 22:44 UTC18 nov 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel annex any part of Lebanon before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill America annex any part of Canada before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
PolymarketWill Israel annex any territory by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel annex at least 15% of Syria by 2029?
Manifold MarketsForeign intervention in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketRegole
The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Gaza hitherto outside its domain, before Nov 17 2027.
- Resolves NO on Nov 17 2027 otherwise.
- See also: @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-by @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-the-wes @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-part-of-palestine
- @/Bayesian/will-israel-annex-a-part-of-gaza-in (this market)
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5K €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)??
- Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)? dovrebbe risolversi il 18 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Israel annex a part of Gaza in the next 3 years (Nov 17 2027)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The market resolves YES if through some official channel, Israel proclaims its sovereignty over territory of Gaza hitherto outside its domain, before Nov 17 2027.