Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 81.4%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto23 lug 26, 02:27 UTC1 gen 35, 03:24 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Isaac King's "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market resolve?
Manifold MarketsIf Isaac King dies or is incapacitated, will his markets be resolved?
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PolymarketRegole
See: @/IsaacKing/if-i-set-my-curtain-on-fire-and-don
- Resolves whenever that market resolves.
- If it gets extended, so will this market.
- If Isaac sets his curtain on fire for at least 1 minute, this resolves YES.
- If Isaac sets his curtain on fire for less than a minute, it will resolve to whatever percentage of a minute the curtain was on fire for (e.g. 30 seconds = 50%).
- If Isaac sets his curtain on fire for less than a minute, but does not know/did not record how long, it will resolve NO.
