Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto13 gen 26, 01:17 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will ICE change its name in 2026?
KalshiWill Congress officially change the name of the Kennedy Center to honor Trump in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any US state change its name by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI change their name before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Taylor Swift change her name if she marries?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Iran's official government name is formally changed to "Persia" at any point during 2026.
- Resolution requires official documentation from Iran's government or international bodies (UN, etc.) recognizing the name change.
- The market resolves NO if no such official change occurs by December 31, 2026.
- In 1935, Reza Shah Pahlavi officially requested that foreign delegates begin using the endonym "Iran" in formal correspondence, and subsequently "Iran" and "Iranian" were standardised as the terms referring to the country and its citizens.
- Iran's official name since 1979 is Jomhuri-ye Eslāmi-ye Irān, which translates as the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Mercati aperti
Middle East
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6K €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5K €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Iran change it's name to Persia in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Iran change it's name to Persia in 2026??
- Will Iran change it's name to Persia in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Iran change it's name to Persia in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria