Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Haley Stevens be a speaker the 2028 RNC??

Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 12 novembre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will Haley Stevens be a speaker the 2028 RNC??

Will Haley Stevens be a speaker the 2028 RNC? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 luglio 2028.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 85%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 22 minuti fa

30 ott 26, 22:39 UTC31 lug 28, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to Yes if U.S. Representative Haley Stevens delivers an official speech or address from the main stage or podium at the 2028 Republican National Convention (RNC).
This market will resolve to No if the 2028 RNC concludes and Haley Stevens has not spoken on the official convention stage.
Brief off-stage press remarks, panel discussions outside the main convention program, or recorded third-party videos shown without an active speaking billing do not qualify.
The outcome will be determined by the official RNC speaker schedule, video broadcasts (such as C-SPAN), and verified reporting from major news outlets.
Haley Stevens is a Democratic member of the U.S. House of Representatives representing Michigan's 11th congressional district.