Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81%
Previsori
92
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto30 gen 24, 21:55 UTC2 gen 30, 12:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland become independent in 2026?
FutuurWill French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?
Manifold MarketsWill Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill New Caledonia become independent of France before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRegole
Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030.
- Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes.
- "Official" means "according to both Greenland and Danish governments".
- If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.
- Greenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.
