Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
TecnologiaOne-OffSalute e medicina2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 77.4%
No 77.4%Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
18 dic 22, 12:46 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in the world throughout the 2020s
Manifold MarketsRegole
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- N.B. The funds must go towards HPV vaccination, not a charity that largely does other work.
