Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto18 dic 22, 12:54 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Attractive toxic sugar baits for malaria control by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund Community salt substitution by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill GiveWell fund probiotic supplementation for preterm newborns by 1st January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we get fusion reactors before 2036?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This question resolves positively if GiveWell gives a grant or publishes a recommendation that grants be given to fund Electronic partogram on or before December 31, 2026.
- Or if a charity undertaking the same work is designated a "Top Charity" or a recipient of "All Funds" before the deadline.
- This resolves according to a statement from GiveWell or a credible news organisation.
- It resolves "No" otherwise.
- The most likely resolution mechanism is that GiveWell writes "yes" in the column "Have we recommended one or more grants to support this program?" in the “Electronic partogram” row of the GiveWell program reviews spreadsheet (https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TG7WRU85p1SEjir-5qvIEg4kVG9a4Lnzdgwcub8aKSs/edit#gid=0) or a spreadsheet that supersedes it.
- Can you find issues with this question.
