Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78.5%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto15 giu 26, 17:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenRouter AI token usage in September
KalshiHow much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if GitHub officially announces or implements a reversal of the usage-based token billing model (which utilizes GitHub AI Credits) introduced on June 1, 2026, and returns to a legacy model such as a request-based billing system (Premium Request Units) or a standard flat-rate billing system for active GitHub Copilot subscriptions.
- This market resolves to NO if no such structural reversion is announced or implemented by December 31, 2026 (or another date specified by the market creator).
- Source of Truth: Official statements on the GitHub Blog or updates within the GitHub Copilot Documentation.
- Clarification: Adjustments to the amount of included monthly AI Credits, lowering token costs, or creating new pricing tiers within the token consumption framework will not trigger a YES resolution.
- The change must be a structural departure from billing strictly by input, output, and cached token consumption.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan??
- Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Github Copilot revert back to their original token usage plan??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria