Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026?
Russia / UkraineOne-OffIA3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 54.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ott 25, 13:25 UTC1 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
In June 2025, the GigaChat team released three open-source models based on the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture with 20 billion total parameters (3.3 billion active).
- GigaChat is developed by SaluteDevices, a subsidiary of Sberbank, one of Russia's largest financial institutions and a leading player in Russian AI development.
- While the team has released smaller open-weights models, they maintain proprietary versions (GigaChat Pro and GigaChat MAX) for which no architectural details or weights have been disclosed.
- The progression to releasing significantly larger open-weights models would provide signal towards several important developments in Russia's AI ecosystem:
- Computational capacity: Training models above 100B parameters requires substantial GPU clusters and energy infrastructure.
- Delivering a ≥100B judged worthwhile to make open-weights would suggest access to a reasonable scale of AI infrastructure
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 55% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026??
- Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will GigaChat release an open-weights model with ≥100B parameters by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In June 2025, the GigaChat team released three open-source models based on the Mixture of Experts (MoE) architecture with 20 billion total parameters (3.3 billion active).