Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeYes, GenAI will become a permanent part of our daily lives permanently 76.4%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto11 ott 26, 08:38 UTC31 dic 29, 11:00 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolution criteria
- Each option in this market resolves independently to YES or NO based on market conditions established before or during the 2030s:
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if major mainstream consumer operating systems (e.g., Windows, macOS, iOS, Android) and standard consumer software suites natively embed generative AI tools into default user workflows by December 31, 2029.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if daily generative AI usage remains concentrated among specialized technical, creative, or enterprise power-users rather than broad consumer adoption by December 31, 2029.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if generative AI maintains sustained, widespread consumer usage into standard daily routines through December 31, 2029.
- the named outcome: Resolves YES if generative AI systems undergo systemic abandonment, regulatory bans, or technological obsolescence between January 1, 2030, and December 31, 2039.
