Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 52%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 20:15 UTC14 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Google makes its Gemini 4 Argon model publicly available to individual developers or consumers on or before October 14, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- To qualify as publicly available, ordinary individual users must be able to obtain access without being individually selected, invited, vetted, or approved by Google.
- Qualified access pathways include:
- Developer Access: Available via Google AI Studio, the Gemini API, or Google Cloud Vertex AI for any registered developer.