Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 93.1%
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28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 ore fa
Obsoleto3 dic 24, 20:13 UTC10 ago 29, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform win the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsWill The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketNigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader?
KalshiRegole
There are rumours musk wants to donate £100 million to Nigel Farage’s party Reform UK.
- https://www.itv.com/news/2024-12-03/will-musk-be-allowed-to-donate-100-million-to-farages-reform-uk