KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2027 21%+1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
7,8 €
Liquidità
9,6K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
17.0% / 21.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
7 lug 26, 16:37 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Nigel FarageThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersReform UKCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Kalshi quota Before Jan 1, 2027 al 21% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Nigel Farage announces departure as Reform UK leader??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Nigel Farage leaves as Leader of Reform UK the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.