Probabilità implicita attuale
March 31, 2027 28%-2.5pt
Qualità del mercato
68 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
5,8K €
Liquidità
13K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
23
Variazione 7g
+5.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
24 giu 26, 09:44 UTC1 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage Exit Date
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiNext Reform Leader
SmarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.