Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 14:18 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeOther 27.5%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto11 mar 25, 19:38 UTC1 gen 40, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
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KalshiRegole
Reform UK is a right-wing political party in the United Kingdom.
- Founded as the Brexit Party in 2018, its current leader is Nigel Farage, who was previously the leader of the UK Independence Party (UKIP).
- At the 2024 UK general election, the party won 5 out of 650 constituencies in the House of Commons.
- This market resolves to the next permanent leader of the party, following Nigel Farage.
- Interim leaders do not count.
- This market will not resolve to Farage, even if he is replaced by an interim leader and then comes back as a permanent leader.