Previsione della comunità attuale
No 81.5%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto12 feb 25, 14:39 UTC15 ago 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Andy Burnham be PM at the time the next UK general election is announced?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform win the next UK election?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiRegole
Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.
- In early February 2025, a YouGov poll placed Reform UK at 25%, ahead of both Labour (24%) and the Conservatives (21%).
- The party is particularly attracting former Conservative voters, with about 33% of past Conservative voters considering Reform UK.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if both of the following conditions are met:
- Reform UK has the highest percentage in the final YouGov voting intention poll conducted before the next UK general election
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose??
- Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose? dovrebbe risolversi il 15 agosto 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.