Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.3%
Previsori
77
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mag 25, 20:03 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
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PolymarketRegole
Will Donald Trump die during his term?
- For the purposes of this question, this closes on January 20, 2029 regardless of whether Trump has done something to extend his term, postpone elections, etc… Cause of death does not matter, if he’s dead he’s dead.
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Which party will win the House in 2026?
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- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump die during his term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump die during his term??
- Will Donald Trump die during his term? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump die during his term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will Donald Trump die during his term?