Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJoe Biden 53.9%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
18 giu 24, 13:00 UTC19 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump survive through end-of-term (Jan 20, 2029) without succumbing to natural causes/old age.
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FutuurRegole
Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.
- This, among other problems, brings an increased risk for death from natural causes.
- The male life expectancy in the USA is 73.5 years, an age they both passed already.
- What is the chance they pass away from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
- This market resolves per person to YES once they die of natural causes, NO if they die from non natural causes, and NO if they are alive on the end of the next presidential term (20th of January 2029), whichever comes first.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Manifold Markets quota Joe Biden al 54% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term? dovrebbe risolversi il 19 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Both Biden and Trump get criticized for being quite old.