Will "Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
One-OffIATecnologia1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 21:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 90%
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12
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 51 minuti fa
In ritardo15 apr 26, 16:46 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many straight weeks will 'you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love' be #1 (Longest 2026 Streak)
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Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Current AIs seem pretty misaligned to me is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
