Will "Can Claude teach me to make coffee?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Can Claude teach me to make coffee?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets quota No al 89.7% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will "Can Claude teach me to make coffee?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Will "Can Claude teach me to make coffee?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.

Come viene liquidato Will "Can Claude teach me to make coffee?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.8pt88.7%
• Anthropic+1.8pt10.3%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 altri esiti

Volume totale

3,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

138K €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt22%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.2pt17%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+8.0pt83%
• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• November 30,-2.0pt60%

+9 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+1.2pt55.5%
• Gemini-3.4pt31.8%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt53.5%
• Google-3.0pt36.4%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 altri esiti

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Best AI this week
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?