Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 50.8%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto12 apr 26, 08:03 UTC31 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Coefficient Giving set up LLM agents with org accounts and a remote worker-like interface by 5/18/27?
Manifold MarketsWill Coefficient Giving (formerly Open Philanthropy) direct ≥$1.5B in grants in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiTrump renames AI by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if there is a grant to MIRI by Coefficient Giving dated to between the start of 2026 and the end of 2028 listed on Coefficient Giving's site at the time when the first grant from 2029 is listed, or if Coefficient Giving no longer lists some grants but it is a matter of public record that CG has made such a grant.
- Grants made by Dustin Moskovitz, Cari Tuna, or other people tied to Coefficient Giving in their personal capacities rather than through CG do not count for the purposes of resolution.