KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Claude 89.1%In testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
72 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
30,9K €
Liquidità
27K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
21 set 26, 16:00 UTC28 set 26, 14:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AI
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+41.9pt67.6%
- September 24+1.3pt12.4%
- September 23+0.7pt6.7%
+13 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 218,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 178,7K €
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-1.0pt28%
- Mark Carney-1.0pt18%
- Donald Trump10%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt70.3%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt13.9%
- Gemini-0.8pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.1pt98%
- Google-0.3pt1%
- OpenAI+0.3pt1%
+18 altri esiti
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+6.0pt79%
- December 15,+9.0pt74%
- November 30,+8.0pt57%
+7 altri esiti
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Best AI this week?
- Kalshi quota Claude al 89% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Best AI this week?
- Best AI this week dovrebbe risolversi il 28 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Best AI this week?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Sep 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.