Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 88.7%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mag 23, 07:34 UTC1 mag 43, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will occur during the reign of King Charles III? 🤴🇬🇧👑
Manifold MarketsWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the U.S. declare war on next?
Manifold MarketsCharles III still King of England through the end of 2026?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketRegole
In the UK the declaration of war is one of the royal prerogatives but of course in practice it's complicated.
- This resolves YES if during Charles III's reign the UK declares war on some country under authorization from Charles and with his Consent (even if the authorization is presented by someone else on his behalf).
- Market will be extended as necessary.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-5.0pt21%
- October 31-6.5pt14%
- September 30-4.7pt6%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 529,5K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt79.2%
- New People (NL)-0.6pt16.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+4.0pt68%
- October 31+9.0pt46%
- September 30+3.0pt24%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+7.5pt58%
- September 30+9.5pt44%
- September 21+14.0pt36%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 192,9K €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+6.0pt93%
- September 18+4.0pt88%
- September 7+11.5pt87%
+2 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Charles III declare war during his reign ??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Charles III declare war during his reign ??
- Will Charles III declare war during his reign ? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 maggio 2043.
- Come viene liquidato Will Charles III declare war during his reign ??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In the UK the declaration of war is one of the royal prerogatives but of course in practice it's complicated.