Previsione della comunità attuale
No 79.6%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto10 set 26, 21:01 UTC31 dic 00, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who gets the Millennium Prize for solving Navier-Stokes?
Manifold MarketsWill Grigori Perelman accept kudos before Christmas Eve 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Millennium Prize Problem be solved in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2101 (the end of the 21st century), the Clay Mathematics Institute (or its official successor organization) awards a Millennium Prize for the solution of any of the seven Millennium Prize Problems, and at least one recipient officially accepts the associated $1,000,000 cash prize (or their portion of it, if the prize is split).
- The market resolves to NO if either:
- December 31, 2100 passes without any individual or entity accepting a Millennium Prize; or
- All seven Millennium Prize Problems have been officially resolved and, for every prize awarded, all recipients decline the associated prize money, making a future YES resolution impossible.
- Notes and Edge Cases: