Will any CSTO member state successfully invoke Article 4 in 2026?
One-OffRussia / UcrainaGeopolitica2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.8%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto26 giu 26, 13:08 UTC31 dic 26, 20:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will any new country trigger the process to become a CSTO member in 2026?
FutuurWill Emmanuel Macron invoke Article 16 before the end of his mandate?
Manifold MarketsWill any other NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
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Manifold MarketsAnother NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if, at any time before the close date, a party to the Collective Security Treaty formally invokes Article 4 of the treaty and the Collective Security Treaty Organisation, or at least one of its member states, acts upon the request.
- This market will otherwise resolve NO at the close date.
- This market is set to close at 21:00 UTC on 31 December 2026.