Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 81.5% al 3 novembre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028??

Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.

Come viene liquidato Will an LLM score >=95% on SimpleBench before 2028??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will be resolved as YES if the AVG@5 score of any LLM on this leaderboard will be 95.0% or higher before Jan 1, 2028.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+5.0pt53.2%
• Claude-0.3pt39.8%
• ChatGPT-1.5pt5.5%

+5 altri esiti

Volume totale

15 Mln €

Volume 24h

332,1K €

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+6.0pt66.7%
• Anthropic-11.1pt33.3%
• ByteDance0%

+9 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.5–$1.75T27%
• $1.75–$2.0T-8.0pt23%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.3pt18%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+3.6pt94%
• ↑$1.75T-1.5pt81%
• ↑$2.0T-2.5pt64%

+11 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+1.5pt54.9%
• Anthropic+2.0pt38.2%
• OpenAI+0.1pt4.9%

+12 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 15,-1.0pt91%
• December 31,-1.9pt91%
• November 30,+1.5pt85%

+15 altri esiti

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