In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard??

Manifold Markets quota 2026 al 99% al 4 novembre 2026.

Quando si risolve In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard??

In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2033.

Come viene liquidato In what year will AI achieve a score of 85% or higher on the SimpleBench leaderboard??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: SimpleBench is a 200‑item multiple‑choice test designed to probe everyday human reasoning that still eludes frontier LLMs, including spatio‑temporal reasoning, social intelligence and linguistic “trick” questions.

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

JSON gratuito per questo mercato, senza chiave API:

Agenti IA: chiama pm_data_event sul server MCP di CoinRithm:

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+6.9pt55.5%
• Claude-3.3pt37.1%
• ChatGPT-2.5pt6%

+5 altri esiti

Volume totale

15,3 Mln €

Volume 24h

214,4K €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-4.0pt25.7%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.5pt22.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.5pt16.2%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-2.4pt90%
• December 15,-1.5pt88%
• November 30,-3.5pt82%

+15 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI this month

• Gemini+5.0pt74%
• Claude-5.0pt21%
• ChatGPT-1.0pt

KALSHI

Time's Person of the Year for 2026

• Zohran Mamdani-1.0pt29.5%
• Pope Leo XIV-3.0pt15.5%
• James Talarico-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+5.0pt60.6%
• Anthropic-3.5pt33.3%
• OpenAI-2.0pt4%

+12 altri esiti

• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• ChatGPT App Downloads in October
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Best AI this week
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released on?
• When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 4, 2026