Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 81.3%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto28 feb 26, 08:46 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?
Manifold MarketsWill NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
Manifold MarketsChopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by which date?
PolymarketWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
PolymarketNASA's mission Artemis 3 to land the first woman and the next man on the Moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
Jared Isaacman announced today that the exploration upper stage for SLS will be cancelled and replaced with an unspecified "standardized" stage.
- Will this be the Centaur V?
- Resolves to false if the Artemis mission are cancelled before flying a planned Centaur V, the Artemis missions are flown only with an alternative, or if NASA is forced to continue with the EUS as mandated previously.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage??
- Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Jared Isaacman announced today that the exploration upper stage for SLS will be cancelled and replaced with an unspecified "standardized" stage.