Previsione della comunità attuale
2030-12-31 26.1%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ago 24, 22:32 UTC1 gen 31, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an Artemis mission launch with a Centaur V upper stage?
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PolymarketSpace Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
The Exploration Upper Stage is currently planned to fly as part of the Artemis 4 mission in September 2028.
- When will it fly?
- All options are on or before the date/time listed, local time at the launch site.
- Resolves on launch of the carrier rocket; success of the launch or the stage itself is not required.
- All options resolve No if the EUS program is cancelled.
- Use in the Artemis 4 mission is not required; if it's replaced with something else on that mission and then flies on some other launch, options resolve according to when it flies.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch??
- Manifold Markets quota 2030-12-31 al 26% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch??
- By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Exploration Upper Stage is currently planned to fly as part of the Artemis 4 mission in September 2028.