Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpace3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 67.1%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto11 feb 26, 03:50 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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FutuurRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if SpaceX successfully catches Starship's upper stage using the Mechazilla tower's "chopstick" arms on their first attempt.
- An attempted catch is defined as any Starship, once having reached orbit, passing a mission milestone where it commits irreversibly to a deorbit trajectory with the possibility and intent of a catch.
- I.E. a deorbit burn targeting the boca chica launch site.
- Any diversion here after would result in a No resolution.
- (Added 08/26/26)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt??
- Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Starship’s upper stage be caught successfully on SpaceX’s first attempt??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria