Will an AI system write a high quality "Winds of Winter" novel before George RR Martin publishes the actual thing?
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Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72%
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Aggiornato 31 minuti fa
19 giu 22, 02:06 UTC1 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
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Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
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Manifold MarketsIn 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality novel to a prompt?
Manifold MarketsWill Preston Jacobs/SweetRobin's "The Winds of Winter" fan-fiction be completed before the real thing is announced?
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KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Market resolved if someone shows me a "Winds of Winter" novel attempt, written by an AI that has cleared read or understands the other books, that I like
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has extended the market close date to 2027 (instead of resolving N/A due to no submissions by the original deadline).