PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 93%
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
4.5% / 9.7%
Spread
5.2 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
15
Variazione 7g
+0.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
16 gen 26, 00:33 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
The Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWinds of Winter released before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsWhich will be released first, The Winds of Winter (ASoIaF #6) or Doors of Stone (KC #3)?
Manifold MarketsWill Netflix Studios Fort Monmouth Phase 1B be completed before winter 2028?
Kalshi"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
- The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
- This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
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- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026??
- Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.