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Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

0.5% (24h)IntrattenimentoYearly6m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 11%+0.0%

Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

91,2 €

Liquidità

2,4K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

9.0% / 13.0%

Spread

44.4%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

16 gen 26, 0:3331 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes11%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.

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Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R.

Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution.
The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify.
This market is concerned only with the announcement of release.