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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto26 ago 25, 20:371 gen 29, 23:59
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2029 version of https://manifold.markets/AdamK/will-an-ai-minecraft-agent-defeat-t-a3b3eb99c337
- In line with progress in AI Minecraft (https://voyager.minedojo.org/), will there be a public announcement of a fully autonomous AI system which can defeat the Ender Dragon before Jan 1, 2029? To establish an objective baseline of competence and consistency in achieving this task, I'll stipulate that such a system must beat the Ender Dragon in less than 150 minutes of in-game time (deaths allowed) in at least 1% of runs.
- Systems which are pretrained on human data are allowed.
- The system must only use observational data that includes what a human player would be able to see while playing the game (including the debug screen), like the Minedojo simulator.
- Systems which have active access to external reference information (like a Wiki) are fine, as long as it does not include additional information on the specific world that the agent is playing in.
- 2026 Version: https://manifold.markets/AdamK/will-an-ai-minecraft-agent-defeat-t-CPpOcyROzc
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029??
- Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will an AI Minecraft Agent defeat the Ender Dragon before 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: 2029 version of https://manifold.markets/AdamK/will-an-ai-minecraft-agent-defeat-t-a3b3eb99c337