Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 92.2%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto27 lug 26, 22:24 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
No new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the next country to join the European Union be Montenegro?
Manifold MarketsWill the next country to join the European Union be Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsNext country to join the European Union:
Manifold MarketsWhich country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
PolymarketWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if any nation that is not currently a member of the European Union (EU) officially joins the EU as a full member state on or before December 31, 2026 (23:59:59 UTC).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Official accession requires the entry into force of the country's Accession Treaty, making it a full member.
- Completing accession negotiations, signing an accession treaty, or being granted candidate status will not suffice if the official date of full membership falls on or after January 1, 2027.
- The primary source of truth for resolution will be official publications and press releases from the Council of the European Union and the list of member states maintained on the official European Union portal.