Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (99%)
Risolto: 1 ott 2026, 07:12
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 ott 2026, 05:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes1%
No99%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases a new model in the Claude Haiku family (such as "Claude Haiku 5.5" or any other newly designated "Haiku" model) on or before September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "released" means the model is officially launched and made accessible to the public or developers (including in open beta) via at least one of the following channels:
- The Anthropic API / Claude Console (https://console.anthropic.com/)
- The consumer chat interface (https://claude.ai/)
