Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeTony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) 100%In testa tra 27 esiti
Previsori
38
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto20 gen 26, 04:29 UTC31 dic 26, 04:11 UTC
Trend
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMembers of the legislature (congress, parliament) in a country come to blows this year? mega-market
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”
- Resolution Criteria
- The Board of Peace has a multi-level structure with a main Board set to be composed mainly of country leaders, with about 60 countries invited as per January 20, 2026.
- Answers resolves continuously based on official communications regarding individuals that start actively holding formal seats on the main Board of Peace (not to be confused with the Gaza executive board)..
- Supporting roles below the top level, like those held by the Aryeh Lightstone and Josh Gruenbaum, do not count for this market.
- Possible resolution sources:
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 581,3K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 55,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 96,8K €
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Members of the Board of Peace??
- Manifold Markets quota Tony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Members of the Board of Peace??
- Members of the Board of Peace? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Members of the Board of Peace??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”